Jun 102013
 

Andy ReidToday starts our series taking a quick peek at the state of all thirty two teams as they prepare for the 2013 season. Yes, it’s early and training camps are still far off, but the bulk of the roster moves have been made and we have enough information to make an educated guess on what 2013 holds for each club. We will go in draft order from worst to first, looking at why each team might be better or worse this coming season. We kick off our series with a look at the Kansas City Chiefs.

1. Kansas City Chiefs
Head Coach: Andy Reid
2012 Record: 2-14
2012 Offense: 211 points scored, 32nd in points, 24th in yards (32nd passing, 5th rushing)
2012 Defense 425 points allowed, 25th in points, 20th in yards (21st passing, 27th rushing)

Key Additions
Head Coach Andy Reid, QB Alex Smith, WR Donnie Avery, LB Akeem Jordan, CB Daunta Robinson, T Geoff Schwartz, CB Sean Smith, T Eric Fisher, QB Chase Daniel, TE Anthony Fasano

Key Losses
QB Matt Cassel, C Ryan Lilja, QB Brady Quinn, T Eric Winston

Why 2013 will be better
The Chiefs had six Pro Bowl players on the roster in 2012 and still managed to go 2-14. Enter Andy Reid and Alex Smith, who are proven winners. The air has changed in Kansas City, and the infusion of Alex Smith, Avery, Fisher, Robinson and Sean Smith promise to change the culture in western Missouri. Having an effective passing attack will make Jamaal Charles a more effective back. The improved offense will keep a very talented defense on the sidelines a little longer. The defense collapsed in 2013, at least in part due to the terrible, mistake-prone offense. Adding Robinson and Smith improves an under-performing secondary.

Why 2013 will be worse
2013 can’t get much worse than 2012, but it’s possible (though not likely) that Reid’s attempt to cobble together talent in the midst of a coaching change will fall flat. Even then, the Chiefs can expect to improve on a two win campaign. Still, Reid seems to be trying to duplicate a pass-oriented attack that he relied on in Philadelphia, and the Chiefs may not have the talent or the interior line to pull it off.

Outlook
It all starts with the offense, and Alex Smith and Chase Daniel represent a major step up over Matt Cassel and Brady Quinn. Keeping Dwayne Bowe was important (not to mention a mild surprise), as was adding Donnie Avery as a complement. Smith is a proven winner, and the Chiefs are highly likely to improve on the pathetic 13 points a game scored in 2012. The Chiefs may well be the most improved team in the AFC in 2013, but winning divisional games is going to be the key to their success this coming season. At worst, the Chiefs should be capable of pulling off four or five wins. At best, they are capable of going 8-8 and competing as a dark horse playoff candidate.

Feb 152013
 

Joe FlaccoPredicting human behavior is a bit harder than predicting the weather, mainly because warm and cold fronts don’t have agents. Nevertheless, NFL free agent season is soon be upon us and this is the way that Flip Stricland (your friendly neighborhood Professional Football Meteorologist) sees it.

 

Joe Flacco

Best Bet for 2013: Baltimore Ravens
I really don’t see Baltimore having any other choice than pony up (yes, that indeed was a poorly crafted Colts reference) and pay Flacco what he wants to stay a Raven. The reigning Super Bowl MVP has all the leverage and his representation will do all it can to generate interest from other clubs to drive the price as high as possible. In the end Flacco resigns with Baltimore a very rich man.
Second Guess: Arizona Cardinals
Never under-estimate what very rich and very desperate men will do. There are high school quarterbacks in Texas who are more NFL ready than the troupe the Cardinals put on the field. Somewhere, someone will think that Arians can turn Flacco into Peyton Manning and entertain the thought of spending a whole bunch of money to make that happen.

Dwayne Bowe

Best Bet for 2013: New England Patriots
New England continues to long for a down field threat and has the blueprint in turning a malcontent wide receiver into a model citizen. Bowe stretches the field and gives Brady a reliable deep ball option Lloyd failed to provide. Bowe also makes the departure of Wes Welker easier to swallow.
Second Guess: Miami Dolphins
Miami adds some talent to a rather under-whelming corps of receivers. While I feel Miami has other free agents wide receivers at the top of their list, it could happen.

Mike Wallace

Best Bet for 2013: Pittsburgh Steelers
Make no mistake, there are still hard feelings between Wallace and the Steelers front office but money has an amazing way of healing old wounds. Pittsburgh needs Wallace more than Wallace needs Pittsburgh in my opinion but a deal gets done to keep #17 a Steeler.
Second Guess: Oakland Raiders
Yes, Al Davis is dead and so is Davis’s well documented blind love of speed. Nonetheless, the Raiders need more talent at the position to keep opposing defenses from stacking the line on McFadden.

Greg Jennings

Best Bet for 2013: Miami Dolphins
Jennings takes his talents to South Beach and reunites with Joe Philben. Miami needs to upgrade the WR position and Jennings is looking to get paid. The best deals are those when both sides walk away happy.
Second Guess: Detroit Lions
Detroit cut ties with mercurial Titus Young which means they are in the hunt for a #2 receiver. Calvin Johnson could use some help and who better than from a divisional rival.

Wes Welker

Best Bet for 2013: Dallas Cowboys
In Tony we trust – for at least another year. The rationale here is that Dallas goes all out and lands Welker to take advantage of the underneath route with Bryant and Austin on the outside.
Second Guess: San Francisco 49ers
Welker knows a good thing when he sees it and jumps to the left coast to give the Niners an added scoring threat. Just think of all the fun things Harbaugh can do with him and that offense.

Steven Jackson

Best Bet for 2013: Cincinnati Bengals
The addition of Jackson gives the Bengals the offensive balance they lacked in 2012. Jackson’s injury history is a concern but this hard nosed running style would create a nice change of pace for a Bengals offense too reliant on the pass.
Second Guess: Arizona Cardinals
The Cardinals could benefit from a run game….and pass game……and at any position not played by Patrick Peterson. We see what Arians did with Vic Ballard. He could do more with Jackson.

Danny Amendola

Best Best for 2013: Denver Broncos
Denver is close, very close. Amendola offers a nice compliment to Thomas’s deep threat and is the type of player who would thrive catching the ball from Manning. He won’t command the money Welker will want and serves as a nice upgrade from the departing Stokley.
Second Guess: Seattle Seahawks
Seattle is close, very close. As such they too are in the market for an affordable receiver to add talent to the position. Amendola would command the attention opening up room for Wilson to use his legs as well as his arm.

Martellus Bennett

Best Bet in 2013: Tennessee Titans
Jared Cook is a free agent and Tennessee will need to find someone of comparable talent. Bennett fits this bill and more creating match up problems and gives Locker the check down option he needs.
Second Guess: Chicago Bears
The Bears have been unable to fill the void created by the trade of Greg Olsen to Carolina and quite literally have no talent at the position. Signing Bennett allows the Bears to use the draft to concentrate needs other than the TE position.

Ahmad Bradshaw

Best Bet in 2013: Green Bay Packers
The Packers tried their luck with Cedric Benson in 2012 and has some success prior to his season ending injury. Green Bay rolls the dice again, this time on Bradshaw who has his own history of injuries. Bradshaw, when healthy, gives the Packers the run game that has been their fatal flaw for far too long.
Second Guess: Cincinnati Bengals
The logic here is the same as above with Jackson. Cincinnati needs to improve the running game and Bradshaw can provide the run-pass balance that was absent last season.

Dustin Keller

Best Bet in 2013: Washington Redskins
Washington has a bona-fide playmaker at QB and needs to give him all the tools he needs to succeed AND stay healthy. Keller, who has health issues of his own, is a legit red zone target who had success with Sanchez under center. Keller’s size and athleticism could make him an attractive option for the Redskins.
Second Guess: New York Giants
If Bennett leaves, Manning and the G men will be on the market for a suitable replacement. Insert Keller who takes the short walk across the concourse to the Giants locker room.

Reggie Bush

Best Bet in 2013: Arizona Cardinals
This is the third time I’ve referenced the genius of Bruce Arians and I very well could be giving the man more credit than he deserves. Nonetheless, Bush has crazy athleticism and could be a crazy fun option to improve the Cardinals run game. Arians skill is with QBs not RBs – regardless Bush is an upgrade at a position that needs talent.
Second Guess: Green Bay Packers
The Packers used Randall Cobb in the backfield last season and benefit from the mismatch his athleticism created. Bush could provide a similar benefit in both the pass and run game.

Brian Hartline

Best Bet in 2013: Buffalo Bills
Hartline stays in the AFC East and moves north to join the Bills to compliment Johnson. Buffalo has an emerging offense and Hartline provides Fitzgerald a reliable alternative to Johnson.
Second Guess: St. Louis Rams
With Amendola gone, Hartline serves as a nice, although unspectacular, replacement. St. Louis needs talent at the WR position and will need to replace the production lost with Amendola moving on. Hartline isn’t much of a free agent splash but I’m not sure the Rams are seeking one this off season.

Dec 122012
 

This week the New England Patriots reinforced why we moved them into the top spot two weeks ago, with a solid 42-14 thrashing of the Houston Texans. Coupled with the Falcons falling to the Panthers, and there is some shifting at the top of our rankings this week. With three weeks to go, some teams appear to be emerging from the pack, and the AFC is faring surprisingly well, given the dominance of the NFC in inter-conference play this season.

Here are our rankings through Week 14.

1. New England Patriots (10-3, U, W7) – First #2 Houston and now #3 San Francisco; can the Pats hang on to the top spot?

2. Denver Broncos (10-3, +3, W8) – They look ready for the post-season, but face a tough test against the Ravens this week

3. San Francisco 49ers (9-3-1, +1, W1) – The Patriots offer some challenges for the new 49ers phenom

4. Houston Texans (11-2, -2, L1) – So how did those letterman jackets work out?

5. Atlanta Falcons (11-2, -2, L1) – Matt Ryan wasn’t telling anyone to get the $#%$ off the field in Charlotte

6. New York Giants (8-5, U, W1) – Osi thinks they are the best, but had to qualify it with “if we play the way we are capable of playing”; Talk is cheap, Osi… consistency is better

7. Green Bay Packers (9-4, +1, W2) – The Packers have a running game? Who knew?

8. Indianapolis Colts (9-4, +1, W3) – They don’t have to win pretty as long as they keep winning

9. Baltimore Ravens (9-4, -2, L2) – Jim Caldwell has never called plays; is he really the answer for the struggling offense?

10. Seattle Seahawks (8-5, +2, W2) – Let me get this right… the Seahawks ran up the score? The Seahawks?

11. Pittsburgh Steelers (7-6, -1, L1) – So they get Ben back and lose? Quarterback controversy! (just kidding)

12. Washington Redskins (7-6, +3, W4) – Now we know why they drafted Kirk Cousins too

13. Cincinnati Bengals (7-6, -2, L1) – That wasted opportunity may come back to bite them in Week 16

14. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-7, -1, L3) – We wanted to believe, but three straight losses has this team on the outside looking in

15. Chicago Bears (8-5, -1, L2) – You knew it was just a matter of time before Jay Cutler stated getting beat like a drum again

16. Dallas Cowboys (7-6, U, W2) – Emotional win doesn’t make up for the Cowboys weaknesses

17. Minnesota Vikings (7-6, +1, W1) – Just when we thought they were done, they find a way to become relevant again

18. St. Louis Rams (6-6-1, +1, W3) – Jeff Fisher has his team believing; if they win out that tie could be the deciding factor

19. New Orleans Saints (5-8, -2, L3) – It took about twenty minutes for Brees to come out with a snarky statement about the bounty decision as he continues to defend the indefensible; just shut up already, Drew

20. New York Jets (6-7, +4, W2) – Beating the Jaguars doesn’t exactly cure their ills, but it gives Rex another week to pretend that they don’t exist

21. Cleveland Browns (5-8, +2, W3) – Any more wins this season, and Fat Jesus is going to have to write a retraction piece about Pat Shurmer

22. Buffalo Bills (5-8, -2, L1) – Remember when some of us thought the Bills might be a playoff contender? Yeah, we’re trying to forget that too…

23. San Diego Chargers (5-8, +2, W1) – If Norv sells that game ball, he might get enough to cover his moving expenses

24. Miami Dolphins (5-8, -2, L2) – The Dolphins find it ‘disrespectful’ when a team successfully runs the same play over and over; this isn’t Madden – if you don’t like it…. stop it

25. Detroit Lions (4-9, -4, L5) – Whether or not Ndamukong Suh is a dirty player, he certainly has exhibited punk behaviors both on and off the field

26. Carolina Panthers (4-9, +1, W1) – Greg Hardy returned the favor to the Falcons this week; this team could close at 7-9

27. Tennessee Titans (4-9, -1, L3) – Remember when some of us thought the Titans might be a playoff contender? Yeah, we’re trying to forget that too…

28. Philadelphia Eagles (4-9, +2, W1) – Is Gruden a possibility for the Eagles? And by Gruden, we mean Jay…

29. Jacksonville Jaguars (2-11, U, L2) – So the Jags lost twice in the Timmy Sweepstakes

30. Kansas City Chiefs (2-11, +1, L1) – Anyone else think that Dwayne Bowe is excited to be headed to the IR?

31. Arizona Cardinals (4-9, -3, L9) – And suddenly Brian Hoyer is the best quarterback on the roster

32. Oakland Raiders (3-10, U, L6) – Can a visit from the Chiefs help them escape from our basement?